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U.S. Men's National Team Draws Near-Certain Round of 32 Matchup Against 62nd-Ranked Bosnia and Herzegovina

The United States Men's National Team has a near-certain first knockout-round opponent locked in: Bosnia and Herzegovina, ranked 62nd in the world — 48 spots below the 14th-ranked Americans. Bosnia and Herzegovina…

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NewsMV Markets Desk
3 min read
27 June 2026Markets desk
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Key takeaways

  • Bosnia and Herzegovina, ranked 62nd in the world, is the near-certain Round of 32 opponent for the 14th-ranked U.S. Men's National Team, with the matchup probability above 99% according to The Athletic.
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina locked in third place in Group B by beating Qatar 3-1 on Wednesday, a result that also eliminated Qatar from the tournament.
  • The U.S. clinched Group D last week and will play an already-eliminated Türkiye on Thursday at 10 p.m. ET in a match with no stakes.
  • The U.S. enters the knockout stage with six goals in two games, tying its best group-stage scoring output, after a 4-1 win over Paraguay and a 2-0 win over Australia.
  • The back-to-back wins were the U.S. men's program's first consecutive World Cup victories since the inaugural 1930 tournament.

The United States Men's National Team has a near-certain first knockout-round opponent locked in: Bosnia and Herzegovina, ranked 62nd in the world — 48 spots below the 14th-ranked Americans. Bosnia and Herzegovina secured third place in Group B with a 3-1 victory over Qatar on Wednesday, putting the probability of a U.S.-Bosnia matchup at greater than 99%, according to The Athletic. Senegal and Austria each hold less than a 1% chance of taking that slot.

How the Bracket Set

The U.S. clinched Group D last week and, as group winner, was slotted to face the third-place finisher from another group. Bosnia and Herzegovina's win over Qatar removed almost all ambiguity from that equation — a draw would have opened the matchup to a wider field of possibilities. Qatar's loss also ended its tournament entirely. Before the Round of 32 becomes official, the Americans still meet Türkiye on Thursday at 10 p.m. ET, but that match carries no stakes: the U.S. has already won the group, and Türkiye has already been eliminated.

A Favorable Path Deeper Into the Bracket

Should the U.S. advance past Bosnia and Herzegovina, the Round of 16 picture also looks manageable. The Americans would face either the Group G winner or another third-place finisher, and only Belgium — currently 10th in the world — ranks higher than the U.S. among that pool of potential opponents. Belgium still needs a win and outside help to claim Group G.

Americans Arriving Hot

The U.S. enters the knockout stage on the back of its strongest group-stage scoring run in decades. Six goals in two games ties the program's best group-stage output — with a third match still to play. The run began with a 4-1 opening win over Paraguay and continued with a 2-0 shutout of Australia that clinched the group berth. The back-to-back victories marked the first time the U.S. men's program had won consecutive World Cup matches since the inaugural 1930 tournament.

The Round of 32 match against Bosnia and Herzegovina is scheduled for next Wednesday in the Bay Area.

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Filed via foxnews.com

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Frequently asked

Who will the U.S. likely face in the Round of 32 and when?

The U.S. is set to face Bosnia and Herzegovina, with the match scheduled for next Wednesday in the Bay Area.

Why is the U.S.-Bosnia matchup not yet official?

The Round of 32 becomes official after the U.S. plays Türkiye on Thursday, though that match carries no stakes since the U.S. has won the group and Türkiye is eliminated.

What does the U.S. path look like beyond the Round of 32?

If the U.S. advances, it would face either the Group G winner or another third-place finisher, and only 10th-ranked Belgium would rank higher than the U.S. among that pool of potential opponents.

What other teams could have taken Bosnia's third-place spot?

Senegal and Austria each held less than a 1% chance of claiming that slot.

How well has the U.S. performed in the group stage?

The U.S. scored six goals in two games—tying its best-ever group-stage output—with a 4-1 win over Paraguay and a 2-0 shutout of Australia that clinched the group berth.