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U.S. goods-trade deficit widens to $118.8 billion in July, largest since March 2025

8/27/2026

goods-trade deficit widened 17.2% to $118.8 billion in July, well above the $100.5 billion consensus and the largest print since March 2025.

Imports climbed 3.7%, led by the biggest monthly surge in capital-goods shipments since 1993, a category that included computers and semiconductors. The supply-side read Capital goods are the headline in the import data.

The 1993 comparison anchors the supply-side view: monthly acceleration of that scale in that category is uncommon, and the jump covered both computers and semiconductors.

The actual print came in roughly $18.3 billion above the $100.5 billion forecast, a gap driven by the import acceleration and the concurrent export decline. The Q3 read-through Net exports enter GDP as a subtraction.

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