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Warsh's Fed under pressure as trimmed mean data signals inflation at multi-year low

7/31/2026

Trimmed mean inflation measures are signaling that price pressure is at its lowest in years, a reading that diverges from headline figures and that has put fresh pressure on Kevin Warsh's Federal Reserve to act.

For rate markets, the policy question is which number the central bank treats as its anchor going into its next decision.

The divergence that matters Trimmed mean gauges work by removing the most extreme price moves on both ends of the distribution and averaging what remains.

The result is a smoother, less volatile read on underlying inflation, one that filters out the outsized swings that can distort a single month's headline print.

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